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Sunday, April 20, 2014

Revised Estimate for GLOBAL Market of Iclusig for GIST indication $500m - $1.5b

I have revised the model per suggestions from comment received on first version, but note the following:

1. I need source for GLOBAL incidence of GIST (only have US estimate, per previous post).

2. Need a clinician to advise how long a patient would likely be on Iclusig to treat GIST (this has implications for number of patients on treatment in a given year)

Low Estimate High estimate
Global Annual Incidence of GIST                   7,500                       10,000
No. Cases Treated with Iclusig 25% 40%

Cumulative Years' Incidence being treated per year
2 3

Total Case treated with Iclusig per year
                  3,750                       12,000
Annual cost of treatment         125,000

Annual GIST related Iclusig Revenue

$468,750,000

   $1,500,000,000

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